Resiliência agroindustrial: o impacto das capacidades logísticas na cadeia de suprimentos face a desastres naturais

Abstract

The recurrence of extreme weather events has exposed the vulnerability of global supply chains, demanding new models of operational response. This study analyzes how logistical capabilities influence the construction, maintenance, and adaptation of resilience in the agroindustrial supply chain, using the consequences of the 2024 hydrological disaster in Rio Grande do Sul as its empirical object. The investigation adopts a qualitative descriptive approach through an integrated single-case study within the agricultural commodities, fruit growing, viticulture and winemaking, and road freight transport sectors. Primary data were collected through semi-structured interviews with strategic managers and triangulated with municipal decrees and official infrastructure reports. The results reveal that linear logistics planning and static physical redundancy fail in the face of systemic disruptions, shifting the locus of response to decentralized mobile assets and the social capital of local networks. Additionally, the analysis highlights that the regulatory macro-environment and institutional constraints acted as operational bottlenecks during the crisis, forcing the cooperative system to assume governance functions and reconstruct public structures. It concludes with the proposition of a conceptual model demonstrating that resilience in contexts of extreme uncertainty and infrastructure collapse transcends technical efficiency and digital automation, depending on analog flexibility, social capital, and multisectoral coordination to ensure flow continuity and the survival of the regional production base.