Estudo de previsões estatísticas com base em séries temporais de defensivos agrícolas

Abstract

Population growth was accompanied by a greater consumption of food and, consequently, a greater concern with the quality of food and environmental issues, changing the consumption pattern of the population. It is important to think about increasing the productivity of crops, both to reduce the opening of new land for cultivation, preserving the environment, and to increase the profitability of the crop. Pesticides being one of the resources most used by rural producers to try to reduce the loss of productivity, they are seen, in most cases, as something negative, due to their incorrect use and the accidents caused. However, its benefits with the extermination of the pests are real and it is necessary to carry out studies and improvements in the products. Therefore, a study is made on the pesticide market, presenting consumption data in Brazil, a survey of the history of pesticides, as well as the way they are classified and the making of forecasts using the Time Series method, so that the understanding is reinforced and to identify reasons that can collaborate with the desired productivity. From the construction of this work, it can be concluded that, over time, there is a growing trend in the use of these agrochemicals, thus making it necessary to raise awareness and control their use.