Metodologia de análise da viabilidade econômica da pecuária bovina no Brasil

Abstract

The cattle industry is one of the most important activities in the Brazilian agricultural sector, contributing significantly to maintaining its positive trade balance - but highly sensitive to changes in the market - increasingly eroding the profit margins of the producer. In this scenario enters the important role of the Federal Government, with the definition of rural credit facilities and release of funds, the principal measures to assist farmers, stimulating the growth and strengthening of the activity. As a tool to assist in the correct targeting of these resources within institutions that works with rural credit, the evaluation model of economic viability of cattle ranching activity correlates risk variables within this activity, which have varying levels and different behaviors according to adverse factors assigning a risk score for each farm examined. Each of these variations, or interval between changes, receives different grades, and each variable has a relative weight in comparison to the others, according to their degree of relevance. The rating is provided according to the peculiar characteristics of each farm, in association with economic and environmental factors that are part of the model. This grade is associated with the analysis of other individual factors of rural properties, helping the identification of the technological level chosen and subsidizing the definition of the limit value to be released for each producer.